New Cases of COVID Per Number of Tests On Thanksgiving Day and DayBefore
From
Intelligent Party@Intelligent@savetheworldmsn.com to
sac.politics,ca.general,alt.california,ca.politics,ny.politics,nyc.politics on Sat Dec 5 14:35:46 2020
From Newsgroup: nyc.politics
Currently 1 in 10 Tests (1,500,000/150,000) is turning up positive for COVID. During Shutdown, 1 in 15 Tests (300,000/20,000) turned up positive for COVID, and
after Shutdown, 1 in 20 Tests (300,000/15,000, or 800,000/40,000) turned up positive for COVID.
But since I wrote this, looking at the number of Hospitalizations has seemed the
best assessment.
On Thanksgiving (11/26/2020) there were 1,000,000 Tests, and 100,000 New Cases of
COVID.
On the Wednesday before Thanksgiving (11/25/2020), there were ~1,800,000 Tests,
and 180,000 New Cases of COVID.
During Shutdown, there were 300,000 Tests Daily, and 20,000 New Cases of COVID daily.
Since shutdown, with PPE, until the beginning of October, there were equivalently,
((300,000/800,000)x40,000), 15,000 New Cases of COVID caught daily.
In the last two months since October, there are equivalently ((300,000/1,500,000)x150,000), 30,000 New Cases of COVID caught daily.
However, to make this equivalency, you would have to presume, that during Shutdown, there were actually 90,000-100,000 cases of COVID daily, and they were
not caught, and this is 4-5 times (1,500,000/300,000=5), as many caught (20,000),
when at the time we were told estimates of 3 times as many cases as caught. [so
NOW do you think there are 4-5 times as many cases of COVID daily, as positive tests, or still 3 times, or are they all being caught?]
So, you could double check these numbers, yet they are an approximate compass to
see if they corroborate. If they don't, and you care, you could post here.
So, to elaborate, before two months ago, there were like 750,000-800,000 tests per
day, and 40,000 New Cases of COVID caught per day. In the last two months, (besides on Thanksgiving), there were 1,500,000 Test per day, and 150,000 New Cases of COVID per day.
So currently 1 in 10 Tests is turning up positive for COVID. During Shutdown, 1
in 15 Tests (300,000/20,000) turned up positive for COVID, and after Shutdown, 1
in 20 Tests (300,000/15,000, or 800,000/40,000) turned up positive for COVID.
These are approximate and rounded numbers. (The above is a rough quantification).
If the above has merit, more cases "caught" ought to mean more cases quarantined,
and we should see a summary[word] reduction in COVID. Or more tests could mean
more people requesting tests because they feel sick. How are there so many tests
(5 times as many)?
Double the number of deaths, is also apparent.
But since I wrote the above, looking at the number of Hospitalizations has seemed
the best assessment.
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