• Without Precautions There Would Be 50 Million Cases Of COVID in 3-4Months

    From Intelligent Party@Intelligent@savetheworldmsn.com to sac.politics,ca.general,alt.california,ca.politics,ny.politics,nyc.politics on Thu Sep 17 13:25:58 2020
    From Newsgroup: nyc.politics

    like the flu every winter.

    with COVID's basic reproduction number (R0) of 3.8-8.9, compared to the flu's 0.9-2.1.

    And the recovery time seems much much longer

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number

    We don't know COVID would stop at 50 Million Cases. Herd immunity is not 10 million people:

    Mayo Clinic says: "Even if infection with the COVID-19 virus creates long-lasting
    immunity, a large number of people would have to become infected to reach the herd
    immunity threshold. Experts estimate that in the U.S., 70% of the population —
    more than 200 million people — would have to recover from COVID-19 to halt the
    epidemic."

    https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-depth/herd-immunity-and-coronavirus/art-20486808
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